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Scoring, Strengths & Achievements
As you participate in thought experiments, you’ll increase your future forecasting experience, develop your forecasting strengths, and move up the ranks of the Lab.
Forecasting Points
You earn points when you make new micro-forecasts. You also earn points when other players build on your forecast. The more your forecasts inspire and provoke others, the more points you’ll earn.
| Add any micro-forecast | 2 points |
| Someone builds on your micro-forecast | 1 point |
| The chain reaction you started reaches 10 forecasts | 10 bonus points |
| Your micro-forecast is selected a “lab favorite” | 10 bonus points |
Strengths
Your strengths increase each time you make a micro-forecast.
| Positive Imagination | Your skill in imagining Best-Case Outcomes |
| Dark Imagination | Your skill in imagining Worst-Case Outcomes |
| Momentum | Your skill in pushing micro-forecasts One Step Further. What happens next in this story? |
| Antagonism | Your skill in arguing an Alternative Outcome. Disagree? Tell a different story. |
| Adaptation | Your skill in adapting a micro-forecast for your field or location. Tell a story more relevant to your work or your life. |
| Investigation | Your skill in asking a follow-up question. |
Lab Levels
The more forecasting points you earn, the faster you’ll level up.
| Level | Forecasting Points Required |
| Novice | 0 |
| Keen | 1-9 |
| Clever | 10-29 |
| Inspired | 30-74 |
| Brilliant | 75-149 |
| Luminous | 150-299 |
| Genius | 300-499 |
| Extreme Genius | 500-749 |
| Beyond Extreme Genius | 750-999 |
| Legend | >1000 |
Achievements
If you really apply your imagination, you’ll unlock forecasting achievements. Here are some of the achievements available:
Automatically unlocked
| HIGH SCORE: | Most points earned in an experiment |
| PROVOCATEUR: | Started the longest chain-reaction in an experiment |
| THE WORKS: | Contributed all five types of micro-forecasts in a single experiment |
| TRILOGY: | Completed three different experiments |
Awarded by lab guides
| TED TALK: | Micro-forecast most worthy of an 18-minute elaboration* |
| MACARTHUR GENIUS: | Micro-forecast most worthy of five-year funding** |
| HAWKING: | Micro-forecast with the clearest sense of the very big picture |
| FEYNMAN: | Micro-forecast with the clearest sense of the very small picture |
| VENTER: | Micro-forecast that makes the biggest paradigm shift |
| HEISENBERG: | The player that had the biggest impact of the conversation |
*does not come with an actual invitation to present at the TED conference
**does not come with $500,000 funding
